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Monte Carlo Prop Firm Simulator

Is this prop firm challenge worth buying?

Plug in your real strategy stats and the firm's rules. We simulate 500 complete journeys — challenge phase through funded trading — to give you an honest expected value per challenge purchased.

Challenge + Funded SimEV per ChallengeHonest Blowup Rate

500 Monte Carlo Runs

$63,757

median profit

Blowout Risk Score

0%

chance of failing

P10 / Median / P90 Range

$33,031 / $100,129

profit range

Account Setup

$
80%
50%100%
$
$
6mo

Your Strategy Stats

From your journal or backtest — this is what makes the simulation realistic.

50%
20%85%
%
%
3
1 trade20 trades
%
Expected Value per Trade+0.250%

Positive edge — strategy is viable

Simulation Results

Expected ROI

+13132%

over 6 months

Median Profit$63,757
Best Case (P90)$100,129
Worst Case (P10)$33,031
Monthly Avg$10,944
Break-Even2 trading days
Track Your Prop Firm in TradeZella

This calculator provides estimates only and is intended for educational purposes.

Got questions?

It depends on your edge. With a positive expected value, prop firms offer excellent leverage — you trade $50k-$200k with only $300-$1000 at risk. But most traders fail. Our Monte Carlo simulation shows your realistic profit potential and blowout risk.